Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.000087 0.000097 0.000107 0.000118 0.000131 0.000144 0.000160
2026-01-11 0.000073 0.000086 0.000100 0.000117 0.000138 0.000161 0.000190
2026-01-18 0.000063 0.000077 0.000095 0.000116 0.000144 0.000177 0.000220
2026-01-25 0.000055 0.000070 0.000090 0.000116 0.000149 0.000192 0.000250
2026-02-01 0.000049 0.000065 0.000086 0.000115 0.000155 0.000207 0.000282
2026-02-08 0.000043 0.000060 0.000082 0.000114 0.000158 0.000220 0.000310
2026-02-15 0.000039 0.000056 0.000079 0.000113 0.000163 0.000233 0.000342
2026-02-22 0.000036 0.000053 0.000077 0.000113 0.000168 0.000249 0.000377
2026-03-01 0.000033 0.000049 0.000074 0.000112 0.000171 0.000260 0.000407
2026-03-08 0.000031 0.000047 0.000072 0.000113 0.000177 0.000278 0.000447
2026-03-15 0.000029 0.000045 0.000071 0.000113 0.000182 0.000293 0.000485
2026-03-22 0.000027 0.000043 0.000068 0.000112 0.000185 0.000305 0.000519
2026-03-29 0.000025 0.000041 0.000068 0.000113 0.000193 0.000325 0.000569
2026-04-05 0.000023 0.000040 0.000066 0.000114 0.000198 0.000342 0.000616
2026-04-12 0.000022 0.000038 0.000064 0.000113 0.000202 0.000358 0.000660
2026-04-19 0.000021 0.000036 0.000063 0.000113 0.000205 0.000373 0.000706
2026-04-26 0.000019 0.000035 0.000061 0.000113 0.000210 0.000390 0.000757
2026-05-03 0.000018 0.000033 0.000059 0.000111 0.000211 0.000401 0.000797
2026-05-10 0.000017 0.000031 0.000058 0.000110 0.000214 0.000415 0.000846
2026-05-17 0.000016 0.000030 0.000057 0.000111 0.000219 0.000433 0.000903
2026-05-24 0.000015 0.000029 0.000055 0.000109 0.000221 0.000446 0.000949
2026-05-31 0.000014 0.000028 0.000055 0.000110 0.000227 0.000468 0.001018
2026-06-07 0.000014 0.000027 0.000054 0.000110 0.000232 0.000486 0.001082